Thursday, April 7, 2011

Time to buy into the VIX

A stalling Dow may indicate the rally is over. Maybe it's time to buy into the VIX (VXX). Its out-of-the-money call option is currently trading at $0.62 (April 16). Although the Japanese nuclear dilemma seemed to have settled down a bit, with a European debt crisis looming, mainly because of Portugal asking for a billion dollar bailout, and Spain on the verge of doing the same, the 'fear' is bound to be coming up in the next few days. Especially now also there is a good chance of a US government shutdown.
Therefore I'm buying into this cheap call option. Another reason is that it looks to me the VIX is bottoming out, in other words, it won't go much lower then this.
As you can also see, the RSI is now in oversold territory (below 50).


This is the overall VIX pictured below, the actual option ETN looks likes this;
You see that its RSI value lies even lower then the actual VIX index


I'm putting in probably 10 contracts for this one..

Another few to look out for is still the;

  • FXE ▼ (Still valid)
  • SPY ▼ 
  • QQQ ▼ 
  • DIA ▼ 
These are all before April 16, the position size and strategy is of course determined on how much risk you can handle in your personal portfolio.


Disclaimer:

All opinions expressed, trade recommendations/advice on this website are solely of John van der Munnik and are not affiliated with any investment firm or any other organization. You should not make an investment only based using this website VDM Trading for your trading needs without seeking help from your own financial advisor.